Principles built from your own data. Break these = lose money.
Stake discipline
1
Max ₹2,500 per single bet — no exceptions
Your ₹5k+ bets returned -42% ROI and wiped ₹30,591. Your ₹1k–₹2k bets returned +57% ROI. The number is 2,500 and there is no "but this match is different".
2
Daily stop-loss: close the app if down ₹5,000
On Apr 18 you lost ₹21,970 in one day. A ₹5k daily limit would have saved ₹16,970. When the limit hits — done for the day, no recovery bets.
3
Bankroll below ₹15k → cut all stakes in half immediately
Emergency brake. Max bet drops to ₹1,250. Below ₹10k stop entirely. Stay alive to bet the next match.
Odds filter
4
Zone A: only bet odds 1.20–1.60
24 bets, 24 wins — 100% win rate. ROI 27–48%. Your safest money. Stack volume here.
5
Zone B: odds 1.80–2.00 — small stakes only (max ₹1,500)
78.9% WR, 50.5% ROI — but ONLY because you kept stakes low (avg ₹785). Keep it that way.
6
Dead zones: never bet 1.60–1.80 or 2.30–2.60
1.60–1.80: -25.2% ROI (your two biggest ever losses live here). 2.30–2.60: -38.2% ROI. Walk away.
Match selection
7
Max 2 bets per match — pick your best reads only
More bets per match = more chaos. If you don't have 2 strong reads, bet 1 or skip entirely. Not every match needs a bet.
8
Prioritize Fri + Sun, be ultra-selective mid-week
Fri: +36.2% ROI · Sun: +27.7% ROI. Tue: -65.5% ROI · Sat: -27% ROI. On bad days go half size or skip.
Fri ★
Sun ★
Mon OK
Thu —
Wed —
Sat ✕
Tue ✕
9
When you feel "this is certain" — cut planned stake by 40%
Every loss over ₹5,000 came on a bet you were very confident about. Chennai vs SRG (1.7 odds, ₹18,620). High confidence = danger signal. Cut the stake.
Process
10
Log the bet in the app before the match starts
If you can't write down why you're placing it before the toss, you shouldn't place it. Pre-match logging kills impulse bets.
+
Track weekly, not per bet — review every Sunday night
Weekly target ₹14,000 (5 weeks = ₹70,000). If you hit it early, drop stakes. If you're behind, do not increase stakes. Stay the course.
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